文章摘要
凌永辉,张月友,沈凯玲.中国的产业互动发展被低估了吗?[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2018,(1):23-41
中国的产业互动发展被低估了吗?
Does the Interactional Development of China's Industries be Underestimated?
  
DOI:
中文关键词: 生产性服务业  先进制造业  产业互动  联立方程模型
英文关键词: Producer Services  Advanced Manufacturing  Industries Interaction  Simultaneous Equations Models
基金项目:本文获得国家自然科学基金项目“生产性服务业对先进制造业的捕捉与匹配问题研究——基于反映与扩散模型的研究方法”(71540024)、国家社科基金一般项目“中国生产性服务业发展的战略转变和机制设计研究”(15BJY023)、教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目“TPP外部约束下我国融入国际价值链分工战略研究”(16JZD019)资助
作者单位
凌永辉 南京大学商学院 
张月友 南京财经大学现代服务业研究院 
沈凯玲 澳洲国立大学商业经济学院 
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中文摘要:
      研究目标:考察我国先进制造业与生产性服务业的互动发展关系。研究方法:基于2003~2014年中国省级工业行业数据,构建面板联立方程模型对先进制造业与生产性服务业的互动发展进行实证研究。研究发现:中国先进制造业与生产性服务业间存在显著但非对称的双向互动关系,大致呈现从东部向中部再到西部的阶梯型衰减趋势;而且,前者对后者的拉动作用要小于后者对前者的推动作用,两种作用间的落差亦由东向西递减;此外,从生产性服务业细分行业来看,这种双向产业互动主要发生在金融业、房地产业等部门,其他生产性服务业与先进制造业间的互动发展程度不高。研究创新:将先进制造业从制造业中分离出来,在考虑行业异质性和内生联立性的基础上,单独考察其与生产性服务业之间的互动关系。研究价值:有利于纠正目前对我国产业互动发展的低估,对加快推进制造业与服务业互动协同发展,振兴实体经济,培育经济增长新动力具有启示意义。
英文摘要:
      Research Objectives:The interactional development relationship between China's advanced manufacturing and producer services.Research Methods:Based on the China's provincial industry data from 2003~2014,this paper constructs the panel simultaneous equation model to conduct an empirical research on the interactive development between the advanced manufacturing and the producer service industry.Research Findings:There is a significant but asymmetric two-way interaction between advanced manufacturing and producer services in China,which shows a ladder-type progressively declining trend from the east to the west,and the former has less effect on the latter,with gap declining between the former and the latter.In addition,from the producer services industry segments,the two-way interaction mainly takes place between the financial sector,real estate and the advanced manufacturing,while it is not much in other producer services.Research Innovations:Considering the heterogeneity and endogeneity,this paper innovatively separates the advanced manufacturing industry and studies its interactional development relationship with the producer services.Research Value:This paper provides important significance to accelerate the coordinated development of manufacturing and service industry,the revitalization of the real economy and the cultivation of new impetus to economic growth.
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