| 梁红艳.中国制造业与物流业融合发展的演化特征、绩效与提升路径[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2021,(10):24-45 | | 中国制造业与物流业融合发展的演化特征、绩效与提升路径 | | Evolution Characteristics, Performance and Enhanced Path of the IntegratedDevelopment of Manufacturing and Logistics Industry in China | | | | DOI： | | 中文关键词: 产业融合 演化特征 绩效 信息化水平 契约环境 | | 英文关键词: Industrial Integrated Development Evolution Characteristics Performance Informatization Level Contract Environment | | 基金项目:本文获得国家社会科学基金项目“新时代物流业高质量发展的动力变革研究”（18BGL018）和福建省社会科学研究基地重大项目“‘互联网+’对中国物流业绩效的影响及其机理研究”（FJ2020JDZ018）的资助。 | | | 中文摘要: | | 研究目标：考察中国制造业与物流业融合发展水平及其演化特征，检验两业融合的绩效，并探究两业融合的提升路径。研究方法：运用改进距离协同模型测度分析2004～2018年两业融合水平及其演化特征，构建联立方程模型检验两业融合的绩效，运用面板数据模型探究两业融合的提升路径。研究发现：中国制造业与物流业融合水平呈持续增长趋势，发展初期即实现了由初步融合向基本融合的阶段跃进，但深化进程缓慢，目前还未实现良好融合。四大区域中，东部地区两业融合水平领先，中部与东北次之，西部最低；劳动、资本、技术三类要素密集型制造业与物流业的融合水平无明显差异。在两业融合系统中，物流业对制造业的推动作用远大于制造业对物流业的拉动作用。提高地区信息化水平、改善地区契约环境可以增强物流业对制造业绩效的提升作用。制造业信息化密度越高，地区信息化水平的调节作用越突出；不论制造业契约密度高低，地区契约环境的调节作用都存在且无明显差异。研究创新：从地区和行业层面系统分析中国制造业与物流业融合发展的演化特征；比较分析两业融合对制造业与物流业绩效影响的差异；综合考虑地区环境与行业特征，构建“地区信息化水平—制造业信息化密度”“地区契约环境—制造业契约密度”分析框架探究两业融合的提升路径。研究价值：为促进中国制造业与物流业深度融合发展提供决策参考。 | | 英文摘要: | | This paper investigates the integration level and evolutionary characteristics of the integrated development of China's manufacturing and logistics industry, and tests the performance of the industrial integration, and further explores the enhanced path of the industrial integrated development. Research Methods: This paper uses the improved distance synergetic model to measure the integration level of manufacturing and logistics from 2004 to 2018, and analyzes its evolutionary characteristics, and constructs simultaneous equation model to test the performance of the industrial integration, and uses panel data model to explore the enhanced path of the industrial integrated development. Research Findings: The integration level of China's manufacturing and logistics has shown a continuous growth trend. In the early stage, a leap from preliminary integration to basic integration is realized, but so far good integration has not been achieved due to the slow deepening process. Among the four major regions, the eastern region leads the integration level, followed by the central and northeastern regions, and the western region is the lowest. There is no significant difference in the labor, capital, and technology-intensive manufacturing. In manufacturing-logistics industry integration system, the promoting effect of the logistics on the manufacturing is far greater than the pulling effect of the manufacturing on the logistics. Improving the regional informatization level and contract environment can enhance the promoting effect of the logistics on the manufacturing performance. Moreover, the higher the informatization density of the manufacturing, the more prominent the regulatory role of the regional informatization level. However, whether it is high contract density or low contract density manufacturing, the moderating effect of the regional contract environment exists and there is little difference. Research Innovations: This paper analyzes the evolutionary characteristics of the integrated development of China's manufacturing and logistics from the regional and industry level systematically， and analyzes the difference in the impact of the industrial integration on the performance of manufacturing and logistics， comprehensively considers the regional environment and industry characteristics, and constructs the analysis framework of “regional informatization level-manufacturing informatization density” and “regional contract environment-manufacturing contract density” to explore the enhanced path of the industrial integration development. Research Value: The research conclusions have certain reference significance for the deep integrated development of manufacturing and logistics industry in China. | | 查看全文 |
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