文章摘要
胡再勇,付韶军,张璐超.“一带一路”沿线国家基础设施的国际贸易效应研究[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2019,(2):24-44
“一带一路”沿线国家基础设施的国际贸易效应研究
Study of International Trade Effect of the Infrastructure under the Belt and Road Initiatives
  
DOI：
中文关键词: “一带一路”  基础设施  国际贸易  引力模型
英文关键词: Belt and Road Initiative  Infrastructure  International Trade  Gravity Model
基金项目:本文获得北京市社科基金项目“一带一路基础设施建设的国际贸易效应研究”（18ZGB003）和中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金重点创新项目“一带一路战略国际经济效应的理论与实证研究”（3162015ZYKB01）的资助。
作者单位
胡再勇 外交学院国际经济学院 
付韶军 外交学院国际经济学院 
张璐超 外交学院国际经济学院 
中文摘要:
      研究目标：分析能源、交通、通信网络三类基础设施及其交互作用对“一带一路”沿线国家进口、出口以及域内双边贸易的影响。研究方法：采用引力模型和面板数据模型。研究发现：“一带一路”沿线国家能源基础设施和交通基础设施的进口效应、出口效应、双边贸易效应都为正；能源、交通、通信网络基础设施在国际贸易的两个方向上的作用大小不一致；不同类型基础设施的国际贸易效应大小也不一致；不同类型基础设施的交互作用对国际贸易的影响方向不确定。研究创新：定量测算“一带一路”沿线国家能源、交通、通信网络三类基础设施的进口、出口和双边贸易收益。研究价值：有助于把握“一带一路”沿线国家基础设施的国际贸易效应的现实状态，为进一步推进“一带一路”基础设施建设提供理论和数据支撑，为基础设施交互作用的国际贸易效应理论研究提供经验证据。
英文摘要:
      Research Objectives:To analyze the effect of the transportation infrastructure, energy infrastructure and communications network infrastructure and their interactions on the import，export and bilateral trade of the Belt and Road countries. Research Methods:Gravity Model and Panel Data Model. Research Findings:The import effects, export effects and bilateral trade effects of energy infrastructure and transportation infrastructure of the countries along the Belt and Road are positive. The impacts of energy infrastructure, transport infrastructure and communication network infrastructure on the two directions of international are inconsistent. The international trade effects of different types of infrastructures are different. The signs of international trade effects of different interactions of infrastructures are uncertain. Research Innovations:The quantitative calculation of the import, export and bilateral trade gains of the three types of infrastructures such as energy, transportation and communication networks of the countries along the Belt and Road. Research Value: It will help to grasp the actual of the international trade effect of infrastructure of the countries along the Belt and Road, and provide theoretical and data support for further promoting the infrastructure construction of the Belt and Road, and provide more evidences for the theoretical research on the international trade effect of the infrastructures interactions.
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