| 沈丽,鲍建慧.中国金融发展的分布动态演进：1978-2008年[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2013,30(5):33-47 |
| 中国金融发展的分布动态演进：1978-2008年 |
| Distribution Dynamic Evolution of Financial Development in China |
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| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 金融发展 分布动态 非参数估计 |
| 英文关键词: Financial Development Distribution Dynamic Non-parametric Estimates |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 准确刻画中国金融发展的空间格局和演变态势，对于解决金融发展差距不断拉大这一问题至关重要。本文创新性地采用了Kernel密度估计和Markov链相结合的方法，更精确地描述了不同地区金融发展的分布动态演进。研究发现，东中西三大地区内部金融发展水平总体上呈现扩大态势，并且中国金融发展大部分的变动发生在相邻状态中，跨状态转移发生的概率较小。在此基础上，提出了缩小促进不同地区金融协调发展的对策建议。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| Accurately characterize the spatial pattern of China's financial development and the evolution trend， it is critical for to solve financial development gap. The article innovatively combines the kernel density estimates and markov chain to more accurately describe the distribution dynamic evolution of China’s financial development of the different regions. The conclusions are as follows: the overall level of the eastern region’s, the central region’s, the western region’s and China’s financial development presents a trend of increase. Most of the changes occurred in the neighboring provinces, and the probability of inter-state transition occurrence is small. On this basis, we propose the solution to narrow the gap of China's financial development of the different regions. |
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