文章摘要
周丹.测度金砖国家间双边贸易成本弹性[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2013,30(3):66-81
测度金砖国家间双边贸易成本弹性
Measuring the Bilateral Trade Cost Elasticity between the BRICS: Translog Gravity
  
DOI:
中文关键词: 金砖国家  超越对数  引力模型  贸易成本弹性
英文关键词: BRICS  Translog  Gravity Model  Trade Cost Elasticity
基金项目:
作者单位
周丹 中国社会科学院世界经济与政治系 
中文摘要:
      传统引力模型基本上以CES效用函数为基础,无法测度贸易成本降低对不同贸易伙伴国间贸易流量的差异化影响程度。Novy(2012)超越对数引力模型弥补了这点不足,本文基于该模型对金砖五国在2000~2010年双边贸易成本弹性做了测度。结果显示金砖五国贸易成本弹性在[245,0.48]间取值不等,变化幅度较大。俄罗斯平均贸易成本弹性最高(36.66),南非次之(29.31),中国最低(1.84)。南非对巴西和中国贸易成本弹性差值比最高,说明降低贸易成本对贸易小国影响程度更大。
英文摘要:
      The traditional gravity models are basically based on the CES utility assumption, which cannot measure the differential impact on the trade flows between different trade partners after lowering the trade cost. This paper is on the basis of translog gravity ,which Novy(2012)provides for overcoming the weak point, to measure the bilateral trade cost elasticity between the BRICS countries (Brazil, China, India, Russia, South Africa) from 2000 to 2010. The result shows that the BRICS countries' trade costs elasticity varies within wide?range between [245, 0.48]. Russia's average trade cost elasticity is on the top (36.66), followed by South Africa (29.31) and China at the lowest (1.84). The ratio of differential value of South Africa to Brazil and China is at the highest level, which demonstrates that the impact of lowering trade cost on the small countries is greater than that on the big countries.
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