| 于维生,于羽.基于伯川德推测变差的有限理性动态寡头博弈的复杂性[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2013,30(2):126-137 |
| 基于伯川德推测变差的有限理性动态寡头博弈的复杂性 |
| The Complexion of a Dynamic Duopoly Game with Bounded Rationality Based on Conjectural Variation of Bertrand Model |
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| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 推测变差 有限理性 混沌 |
| 英文关键词: Conjectural Variation Bounded Rationality Chaos |
| 基金项目: |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 本文在具有伯川德推测变差的推测变差模型的基础上，引入参与人的基本有限理性的动态产量调整行为，构建出动态调整系统，论证了企业调整速度在稳定域内时，静态伯川德推测变差均衡仍可作为稳定的动态均衡而实现。并用数值仿真的方法说明了当企业的产量调整速度不在稳定域内时，经济系统将会出现倍周期分岔或混沌等复杂动态。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| In this article, on the basis of conjectural variation model of Bertrand conjectural variation, it has been introduced a dynamic production adjustment behavior of basic bounded rationality to construct a dynamic adjustment system and demonstrate that static Bertrand conjectural variation equilibrium can be realized as a stable dynamic equilibrium under the assumption of adjustment speed in the stable region. We use numerical simulation to show that when production adjustment speed is not in stable region, there will be complex dynamics such as period-doubling bifurcation or chaos in economic system. |
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