| Zuo Pengfei,Jiang Qiping,Chen Jing.Internet Development，Urbanization and the Upgrading of China‘s Industrial Structure[J].The Journal of quantitative and technical economics,2020,(7):71-91 |
| 互联网发展、城镇化与我国产业结构转型升级 |
| Internet Development，Urbanization and the Upgrading of China‘s Industrial Structure |
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| 中文关键词: 互联网发展 城镇化 产业结构转型升级 门限效应 |
| 英文关键词: Internet Development Urbanization Transformation and Upgrading of Industrial Structure Threshold Effect |
| 基金项目:本文获得国家社科基金青年项目“人工智能、资本深化、技能溢价与区域不平衡研究”(18CJL033)、中国社会科学院创新工程项目“数字经济研究：微观经济分析”(IQTE2020-07)、中国社会科学院青年科研启动项目“信息化推动中国经济高质量发展的靶向路径与政策供给”的资助。 |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 研究目标：对互联网发展、城镇化与产业结构转型升级的关系进行实证分析，并揭示城镇化在互联网推动产业结构转型升级过程中扮演的角色。研究方法：基于2003~2018年我国31个省份的面板数据，利用系统GMM模型分析互联网发展以及互联网与城镇化融合发展对产业结构转型升级的动态效应与区域差异，进一步，以城镇化水平作为门限变量，运用门限效应模型实证考察了互联网发展与产业结构转型升级之间的非线性关系。研究发现：互联网发展对产业结构高度化和合理化具有显著正向促进作用；互联网发展持续性推进产业结构合理化，而与产业结构高度化之间呈现倒“U”形关系；互联网与城镇化的融合发展对推动产业结构转型升级具有更强效果，同时，互联网发展推动产业结构转型升级存在显著的城镇化门限效应；具体来说，互联网发展的产业结构高度化效应和产业结构合理化效应分别存在双重门限和单一门限。研究创新：从城镇化视角探讨了互联网发展对产业结构转型升级的影响效应。研究价值：从互联网和城镇化融合发展的角度为实现我国产业结构转型升级提供科学决策依据。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| Research Objectives: To conduct empirical analysis of the relationship between Internet development, urbanization and transformation and upgrading of industrial structure, and reveal the role of urbanization in the process of internet-driven industrial structure transformation and upgrading.Research Methods: Based on the panel data of 31 provinces in China from 2003 to 2018, use the system GMM model to analyze the dynamic effects and regional differences of the internet development on the industrial structure transformation and upgrading. Further, select the level of urbanization as the threshold variable and use the threshold effect model to demonstrate the non-linear relationship between the development of the Internet and the transformation and upgrading of the industrial structure.Research Findings: Internet development has a positive and sustainable role in promoting the transformation and upgrading of the industrial structure. The development of the internet continues to promote the rationalization of the industrial structure, but it has an inverted “U” relationship with the high degree of the industrial structure. The integrated development of the internet and urbanization can exert a stronger effect on promoting the transformation and upgrading of the industrial structure. At the same time, there is a significant urbanization threshold effect for the development of the internet to promote the transformation and upgrading of the industrial structure. Specifically, there is a double threshold for the high-level industrial structure effect of the internet development, and a single threshold for the rationalization effect of the industrial structure.Research Innovations: The impact of internet development on the transformation and upgrading of industrial structure is discussed from the perspective of urbanization.Research Value: Provide scientific decision-making basis for the realization of industrial structure transformation and upgrading from the perspective of internet development and urbanization |
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