文章摘要
Zhang Lin,Wen Tao.Research on the Spatial-temporal Characteristics and Dynamic Evolution of Real Economy Growth[J].The Journal of quantitative and technical economics,2020,(3):47-66
中国实体经济增长的时空特征与动态演进
Research on the Spatial-temporal Characteristics and Dynamic Evolution of Real Economy Growth
  
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中文关键词: 实体经济虚拟经济时空特征区域差异动态演进
英文关键词: Real Economy  Fictitious Economy  Spatial-temporal Characteristics  Regional Difference  Dynamic Evolution
基金项目:本文受到教育部人文社科研究青年基金项目“农村产业融合发展的金融服务创新与政策协同研究”（18YJC790218）、第12批中国博士后科学基金特别资助项目“乡村振兴中农村产业融合发展的福利效应及提升机制研究”（2019T120803）、国家自然科学基金“农村金融市场‘精英俘获’困境破解与包容性成长研究”（71773099）、国家社科基金青年项目“基于社会责任视角的农村金融服务乡村振兴战略研究”（19CJY031）的资助。
Author NameAffiliation
Zhang Lin Institute of Inclusive Finance and Agricultural & Rural Development, Southwest University；College of Economics and Management, Southwest University 
Wen Tao Institute of Inclusive Finance and Agricultural & Rural Development, Southwest University；College of Economics and Management, Southwest University 
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中文摘要:
      研究目标：考察中国实体经济增长的时空特征及动态演进趋势。研究方法：分别利用Moran‘s I指数、泰尔指数及其分解和核密度估计方法研究实体经济的空间相关性、区域差异及分布动态演进。研究发现：中国实体经济增长表现出明显的阶段性特征；实体经济与虚拟经济均具有明显的空间集聚性和区域差异性，且后者更明显；实体经济和虚拟经济的总体差异呈收敛趋势，而绝对差异呈扩大趋势，区域间差异是总体差异的主要来源。研究创新：全面揭示实体经济增长的时空特征和区域差异，并考察其分布动态演进。研究价值：考察中国实体经济增长的时空特征、区域差异和分布动态演进，为有效促进实体经济增长和缩小地区差异提供针对性政策建议。
英文摘要:
      Research Objectives: This paper studies the spatial-temporal characteristics and dynamic evolution of real economic growth in China over the past 70 years.Research Methods: Moran‘s I Index, Theil Index and its decomposition and Kernel Density Estimator are used to analyze the spatial correlation, regional differences and the distributional dynamic evolution of real economy.Research Findings: The real economic growth in China over the past 70 years shows significant characteristics of stage change. The growths of real economy and fictitious economy have obvious spatial agglomeration and regional difference, and the latter is more obvious. The overall difference of real economy and fictitious economy tends to converge, but the absolute difference shows an expanding trend, the regional difference is the main source of the overall difference.Research Innovations: It reveals the spatial-temporal characteristics, regional differences of real economy growth in China over the 70 years, and examines the distributional dynamic evolution of real economy. Research Value:Studying the temporal-spatial characteristics, regional differences and distributional dynamic evolution of real economy growth, and provide targeted policy suggestions for effectively promoting the growth of real economy and narrowing the differences.
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