Liu Ming,Wang Siwen.A Study on β Convergence and Spatial Dependence of Chinas Manufacturing Industry from the Global Financial Crisis to Chinas New Normal[J].The Journal of quantitative and technical economics,2018,(2):3-23 |
β收敛、空间依赖与中国制造业发展 |
A Study on β Convergence and Spatial Dependence of Chinas Manufacturing Industry from the Global Financial Crisis to Chinas New Normal |
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中文关键词: 制造业 时间β收敛 空间β收敛 时空β收敛 |
英文关键词: Manufacturing Industry Temporal β Convergence Spatial β Convergence Temporal spatial β Convergence |
基金项目:本文获得国家社科基金青年项目“基于空间统计技术的中国制造业新常态发展路径研究”(批准号:16CTJ009)的资助。 |
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中文摘要: |
研究目标:探究欧盟否认中国市场经济地位,对中国、欧盟及世界经济的宏观、产业以及贸易的影响。研究方法:将“非市场经济地位”折算为“反倾销等值税”,利用全球贸易分析模型针对欧盟对中国征收的进口关税进行计算。研究发现:欧盟否认中国市场经济地位不会缓解欧盟就业压力,反而使欧盟出口在中国总进口占比下降001个百分点;同时,全世界资源配置效率下降,进一步导致全世界整体福利下降;虽然欧盟否认中国市场经济地位使中国对欧盟出口减少约506亿美元,但中国向世界其他地区的出口量均有所上升;而且有利于中国产业结构优化,对供给侧改革有一定的激励作用。研究创新:将“非市场经济地位”折算为“反倾销等值税”。研究价值:在研究非数值变量时(如市场经济地位),可利用其直接影响的变量(反倾销)造成的直接经济损失,折算为适当的指标变量(等值关税)。中国对世界经济的贡献和影响巨大,市场经济地位不容否认。 |
英文摘要: |
Research Objectives:Discussing the β convergence characteristics of Chinas manufacturing industry Research Methods: Using Barro and Sala I Martin β convergence equation to make two new models from spatial perspective, and using these models including Barro and Sala I Martins β convergence equation to research the convergence of Chinas manufacturing industry from temporal dimension and spatial dimension Research Findings: The investigation of σ convergence and β convergence from temporal dimension showed that, Chinas manufacturing industry existed σ convergence and β convergence features, which β convergence features was different in different sample period and different sample regional The investigation of β convergence from spatial dimension showed that, In financial crisis during 2007~2010, spatial β convergence feature was obvious, but in Chinas New Normal during 2011~2015, the spatial βconvergence was fading In the view of the perspective on time and space, Chinas manufacturing industry was convergence Research Innovations: Designing and building new models to test the spatial convergence of Chinas manufacturing industry Research Value: Studying on the industrial convergence could be from the two dimensions of time and space Convergence characteristics of Chinese manufacturing industry had regional differences. |
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