| 吕炜,李晓伟.“一带一路”沿线国家民生发展评估实证[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2021,(4):83-102 |
| “一带一路”沿线国家民生发展评估实证 |
| An Empirical Assessment of the Human Well-Being Effects of “the Belt and Road” Countries |
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| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: “一带一路”倡议 民生发展 人类发展指数 |
| 英文关键词: “the Belt and Road” Initiative Human Well-being Human Development Indices |
| 基金项目:本项研究得到国家自然科学基金重点项目“国家治理视角下公共服务供给的财政制度研究”（71833002）的资助。 |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 研究目标：“一带一路”倡议对沿线国家民生发展的政策效果。研究方法：使用双重差分方法评估“一带一路”沿线64个国家在倡议提出前后人类发展指数（HDI）的变化。研究发现：“一带一路”倡议对沿线国家的人类发展指数存在显著的正向影响，从人类发展指数三个分项指标来看，“一带一路”倡议尤其对沿线国家的教育指数提升显著；相应的机制与异质性分析结果也表明，“一带一路”倡议显著改善了沿线国家的基础设施质量，促进了沿线国家在教育、卫生领域的财政支出，这些因素最后都落实到人类发展指数的提升上。研究创新：从民生角度针对“一带一路”倡议对沿线国家人类发展指数提升给出了实证评估结果。研究价值：与现有的针对“一带一路”倡议贸易效应、投资效应的研究形成互补；站在非“我”立场，针对沿线国家的人类发展指数进行检验，更能全面地认识“一带一路”倡议。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| Research Objectives：To examine the effect of BRI on the Human Development Indices （HDIs） of the BR countries. Research Methods：By using a difference-in-difference （DID） approach to study how BRI affects the human well-being of these countries. Research Findings：The BR Countries improve significantly since the BRI was announced; Concerning the three sub-indices of HDI, the BRI improves the education indices of the BR countries the most. Mechanism and heterogeneity analyses also show that the BRI significantly improves the infrastructure quality of the BR countries and stimulates the government expenditure in education and health of the BR countries, through which the HDIs are enhanced. Research Innovations：This is the first study of effect of BRI on HDIs of the BR countries. Research Value：This study is complementing to exiting studies on trade and investment, and also be consistent with observations on the BRI, and refute the suspicion of certain countries on the BRI. |
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