| 聂长飞,简新华.中国高质量发展的测度及省际现状的分析比较[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2020,(2):26-47 | | 中国高质量发展的测度及省际现状的分析比较 | | Measurement of Chinas High quality Development and Analysis of Provincial Status | | | | DOI： | | 中文关键词: 高质量发展指数 “四高一好” 动态演进 泰尔指数 收敛性 | | 英文关键词: High quality Development Index Four Highs and One Good Dynamic Evolution Theil Index Convergence | | 基金项目:本文获得国家社会科学基金重大项目“中国经济走势的马克思主义政治经济学研究”（17ZDA036）的资助。 | | | 中文摘要: | | 研究目标：测度并分析2001～2017年中国各省份高质量发展水平。研究方法：纵横向拉开档次法、定基功效系数法、核密度估计、Markov转移概率矩阵、泰尔指数、莫兰指数、莫兰散点图、σ收敛模型、β收敛模型。研究发现：2001～2017年，中国高质量发展指数以160%的年均增长率稳步提升，但等级跃迁难度较大，各省份之间高质量发展指数差异有所减小，且表现出空间正向集聚的特征，高质量发展指数不存在σ收敛，但存在β收敛，2012年以后中国经济发展开始逐步转为“质量型”导向。研究创新：依据“四高一好”的衡量标准构建指标体系，从时间、空间、区域等维度对高质量发展指数深入分析。研究价值：有助于更加客观全面地了解中国经济的真实发展状况，为进一步推动中国经济高质量发展提供依据。 | | 英文摘要: | | Research Objectives:This paper measures and analyzes the high quality development level of Chinas provinces from 2001 to 2017.Research Methods:This paper uses vertical and horizontal scatter degree method,fixed base efficacy coefficient method,kernel density estimation,Markov transition probability matrix,Theil index,Morans Index,Moran scatterplot,σ convergence model,and β convergence model Research Findings:From 2001 to 2017,Chinas high quality development index increases steadily with an average annual growth rate of 160%,but the grade transition is difficult At the same time,the difference of Chinas high quality development index decreases and shows the characteristics of positive spatial agglomeration There is no σ convergence in the high quality development index,but there is β convergence Since 2012,Chinas economic development has gradually turned to “quality oriented” Research Innovations: This paper builds a high quality development index according to the measurement standard of “four highs and one good”,and analysis the high quality development index in depth from the dimensions of time,space and region Research Value:This paper is helpful to understand the real development status of Chinas economy more objectively and comprehensively,and provides foundations for further promoting the high quality development of Chinas economy | | 查看全文 |
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