文章摘要
李博,张全红,周强,Mark Yu.中国收入贫困和多维贫困的静态与动态比较分析[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2018,(8):39-55
中国收入贫困和多维贫困的静态与动态比较分析
Static and Dynamic Comparison between Income and Multidimensional Poverty in China
  
DOI:
中文关键词: 收入贫困  多维贫困  A-F双界限法  静态偏离  动态偏离
英文关键词: Income Poverty  Multidimensional Poverty  A-F Dual Cut-off Approach  Static Disparity  Dynamic Disparity
基金项目:本文获得国家社会科学基金项目“农民合作社社会资本的多维减贫效应及政策研究”(16BGL125)和湖北省教育厅哲学社会科学研究重大项目“湖北省创新精准扶贫工作机制研究”(16ZD031)的资助。
作者单位
李博 湖北经济学院经济与环境资源学院 
张全红 湖北经济学院经济与环境资源学院 
周强 中南财经政法大学经济学院 
Mark Yu 美国塔尔顿州立大学农业与环境科学学院 
中文摘要:
      研究目标:从家庭层面对中国收入贫困和多维贫困状态进行静态和动态比较,定量分析收入贫困与多维贫困的相互影响。研究方法:利用A-F双界限法测度多维贫困,借助联合概率分布矩阵和动态转移矩阵考察两种贫困的状态转换及其动态偏离情况。研究发现:收入贫困和多维贫困的发生率和状态转换率相差不大,但两种贫困家庭之间却存在巨大的静态和动态偏离,2014年中国两种贫困家庭的重合度仅为17%,2010~2014年在收入脱贫(或入贫)的家庭中同时发生多维脱贫(或入贫)的家庭占比一般不超过20%;深度贫困家庭减贫进展缓慢。研究创新:采用中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)提供的面板数据,有助于分析家庭贫困变动的长期效应;按家庭特征对样本进行分组,并比较各组家庭之间两种贫困的静态偏离情况;将两种贫困的偏离分析由静态层面拓展到动态层面。研究价值:为相关理论研究提供更多经验证据,为促进“精准扶贫、精准脱贫”提供数据支撑。
英文摘要:
      Research Objectives:To comparatively analyze the static and dynamic disparities between income and multidimensional poverty,and to quantitative analyze of the interaction between them.Research Methods:Multidimensional Poverty Index was measured by A-F dual cut-off approach.The state transition and dynamic disparity between income and multidimensional poverty were investigated by joint probability matrix and transfer probability matrix.Research Findings:The head rate and state transition rate between income and multidimensional poverty are similar,but there are huge static and dynamic disparities between this two types of poor families.The overlap of these two types of poor families is only 17% in 2014.Among those who rose (or fell) in income dimensional,generally less than 20 percent of families also rose (or fell) in the multi-dimensional during 2010~2014.The alleviating progress of extremely poverty is very slow.Research Innovations:Based on panel data from the China Family Panel Studies (CFPS),the long-term effects of changes in family poverty could be accurately analyzed.According to the grouping of samples by family characteristics,the static disparities of the two types of poverty among families in each group were compared.The disparity analysis between the two types of poverty was extended from static to dynamic.Research Value:To provide more empirical evidence for the relevant theoretical research and to provide data support for anti-poverty.
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