范建双,虞晓芬,周琳.城镇化、城乡差距与中国经济的包容性增长[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2018,(4):41-60 |
城镇化、城乡差距与中国经济的包容性增长 |
Urbanization, Urban-rural Gap and Inclusive Growth in China |
|
DOI: |
中文关键词: 城镇化 城乡差距 包容性增长 Hicks-Moorsteen 空间面板 |
英文关键词: Urbanization Urban-rural Gap Inclusive Growth Hicks-Moorsteen Spatial Panel |
基金项目:本文获得国家自然科学基金项目“城市蔓延对全要素碳排放绩效的影响机制及效应研究”(71774142)、浙江省哲学社会科学重点研究基地项目“产业结构演进、新型城镇化对土地集约利用的影响研究:基于浙江县域视角”(16JDGH045)、浙江省自然科学基金项目“城镇化质量对土地可持续集约利用的影响机理及优化路径设计:基于浙江县域的研究视角”(LY16G030029)、杭州市科技计划软科学研究重点项目“加快促进产业结构优化升级的杭州市土地集约利用政策效果评价研究”(20160834M23)和浙江省哲学社会科学重点研究基地“技术创新与企业国际化研究中心”的资助。 |
|
中文摘要: |
研究目标:分析城镇化、城乡差距对经济包容性增长的影响。研究方法:采用Hicks-Moorsteen指数测算经济包容性全要素生产率(TFP);建立理论分析框架,采用空间计量模型从直接影响和溢出效应两方面进行实证检验。研究发现:同时考虑城乡收入差距和非收入差距的包容性TFP要低于传统TFP,即传统TFP可能被高估。城镇化本身对包容性增长没有显著的影响,但由城镇化引起的城乡非收入差距扩大对包容性增长具有显著的负面直接影响;城乡收入差距和非收入差距的缩小对包容性增长具有促进效应,二者的交叉项同时存在显著负向直接影响和溢出效应。研究创新:将城乡非收入差距纳入到包容性增长的分析框架并从直接影响和溢出效应两个维度进行分析。研究价值:对有序推进城镇化进程和实现经济包容性增长有重要现实意义。 |
英文摘要: |
Research Objectives: This paper analyzes the effect of urbanization and urban-rural gap to inclusive growth. Research Methods: This paper uses the Hicks-Moorsteen index method to measure the inclusive TFP growth in China; establishes the theoretical analysis framework, and tests the direct influence and spatial spillover effect by using the spatial panel data model. Research Findings: While the inclusion of urban-rural income gap and non-income gap of the inclusive TFP is lower than the traditional TFP, that is, the traditional TFP may be overestimated. Urbanization itself has no significant influence on inclusive growth, but it has a significant negative impact on the inclusive growth by expanding urban-rural non-income gap. The narrowing of urban-rural income gap and non-income gap is conducive to inclusive growth and the cross-entry between them has significant negative direct impact and spillover effect on inclusive growth. Research Innovations: This paper brings urban-rural non-income gap into the inclusive growth analysis framework and analyzes it from the direct impact and spillover effects two dimensions. Research Value: The results of the study have some policy suggestions on how to promote the urbanization process in an orderly manner and realize the inclusive growth. |
查看全文 |