文章摘要
刘明,王思文.β收敛、空间依赖与中国制造业发展[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2018,(2):3-23
β收敛、空间依赖与中国制造业发展
A Study on β Convergence and Spatial Dependence of Chinas Manufacturing Industry from the Global Financial Crisis to Chinas New Normal
  
DOI：
中文关键词: 制造业  时间β收敛  空间β收敛  时空β收敛
英文关键词: Manufacturing Industry  Temporal β Convergence  Spatial β Convergence  Temporal spatial β Convergence
基金项目:本文获得国家社科基金青年项目“基于空间统计技术的中国制造业新常态发展路径研究”（批准号：16CTJ009）的资助。
作者单位
刘明 兰州财经大学甘肃经济发展数量分析研究中心；兰州财经大学统计学院 
王思文 兰州财经大学国际经济与贸易学院 
中文摘要:
      研究目标：探究欧盟否认中国市场经济地位，对中国、欧盟及世界经济的宏观、产业以及贸易的影响。研究方法：将“非市场经济地位”折算为“反倾销等值税”，利用全球贸易分析模型针对欧盟对中国征收的进口关税进行计算。研究发现：欧盟否认中国市场经济地位不会缓解欧盟就业压力，反而使欧盟出口在中国总进口占比下降001个百分点；同时，全世界资源配置效率下降，进一步导致全世界整体福利下降；虽然欧盟否认中国市场经济地位使中国对欧盟出口减少约506亿美元，但中国向世界其他地区的出口量均有所上升；而且有利于中国产业结构优化，对供给侧改革有一定的激励作用。研究创新：将“非市场经济地位”折算为“反倾销等值税”。研究价值：在研究非数值变量时（如市场经济地位），可利用其直接影响的变量（反倾销）造成的直接经济损失，折算为适当的指标变量（等值关税）。中国对世界经济的贡献和影响巨大，市场经济地位不容否认。
英文摘要:
      Research Objectives：Discussing the β convergence characteristics of Chinas manufacturing industry Research Methods: Using Barro and Sala I Martin β convergence equation to make two new models from spatial perspective, and using these models including Barro and Sala I Martins β convergence equation to research the convergence of Chinas manufacturing industry from temporal dimension and spatial dimension Research Findings: The investigation of σ convergence and β convergence from temporal dimension showed that, Chinas manufacturing industry existed σ convergence and β convergence features, which β convergence features was different in different sample period and different sample regional The investigation of β convergence from spatial dimension showed that, In financial crisis during 2007~2010, spatial β convergence feature was obvious, but in Chinas New Normal during 2011~2015, the spatial βconvergence was fading In the view of the perspective on time and space, Chinas manufacturing industry was convergence Research Innovations: Designing and building new models to test the spatial convergence of Chinas manufacturing industry Research Value: Studying on the industrial convergence could be from the two dimensions of time and space Convergence characteristics of Chinese manufacturing industry had regional differences.
查看全文