文章摘要
刘明,王思文.β收敛、空间依赖与中国制造业发展[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2018,(2):3-23
β收敛、空间依赖与中国制造业发展
A Study on β Convergence and Spatial Dependence of Chinas Manufacturing Industry from the Global Financial Crisis to Chinas New Normal
  
DOI:
中文关键词: 制造业  时间β收敛  空间β收敛  时空β收敛
英文关键词: Manufacturing Industry  Temporal β Convergence  Spatial β Convergence  Temporal spatial β Convergence
基金项目:本文获得国家社科基金青年项目“基于空间统计技术的中国制造业新常态发展路径研究”(批准号:16CTJ009)的资助。
作者单位
刘明 兰州财经大学甘肃经济发展数量分析研究中心兰州财经大学统计学院 
王思文 兰州财经大学国际经济与贸易学院 
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中文摘要:
      研究目标:探究欧盟否认中国市场经济地位,对中国、欧盟及世界经济的宏观、产业以及贸易的影响。研究方法:将“非市场经济地位”折算为“反倾销等值税”,利用全球贸易分析模型针对欧盟对中国征收的进口关税进行计算。研究发现:欧盟否认中国市场经济地位不会缓解欧盟就业压力,反而使欧盟出口在中国总进口占比下降001个百分点;同时,全世界资源配置效率下降,进一步导致全世界整体福利下降;虽然欧盟否认中国市场经济地位使中国对欧盟出口减少约506亿美元,但中国向世界其他地区的出口量均有所上升;而且有利于中国产业结构优化,对供给侧改革有一定的激励作用。研究创新:将“非市场经济地位”折算为“反倾销等值税”。研究价值:在研究非数值变量时(如市场经济地位),可利用其直接影响的变量(反倾销)造成的直接经济损失,折算为适当的指标变量(等值关税)。中国对世界经济的贡献和影响巨大,市场经济地位不容否认。
英文摘要:
      Research Objectives:Discussing the β convergence characteristics of Chinas manufacturing industry Research Methods: Using Barro and Sala I Martin β convergence equation to make two new models from spatial perspective, and using these models including Barro and Sala I Martins β convergence equation to research the convergence of Chinas manufacturing industry from temporal dimension and spatial dimension Research Findings: The investigation of σ convergence and β convergence from temporal dimension showed that, Chinas manufacturing industry existed σ convergence and β convergence features, which β convergence features was different in different sample period and different sample regional The investigation of β convergence from spatial dimension showed that, In financial crisis during 2007~2010, spatial β convergence feature was obvious, but in Chinas New Normal during 2011~2015, the spatial βconvergence was fading In the view of the perspective on time and space, Chinas manufacturing industry was convergence Research Innovations: Designing and building new models to test the spatial convergence of Chinas manufacturing industry Research Value: Studying on the industrial convergence could be from the two dimensions of time and space Convergence characteristics of Chinese manufacturing industry had regional differences.
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