文章摘要
蒲志仲,刘新卫,毛程丝.能源对中国工业化时期经济增长的贡献分析[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2015,(10):3-19
能源对中国工业化时期经济增长的贡献分析
Analysis of Contribution of Energy to Economic Growth in China’s Industrial Era
  
DOI:
中文关键词: 化石能源  经济增长  产出弹性  要素贡献率
英文关键词: Fossil Energy  Economic Growth  Output Elasticity  Contribution Rates of the Factors
基金项目:本文为国家社会科学基金项目“资源经济时代:矿产资源税制改革研究”(11AJY012)阶段性研究成果。
作者单位
蒲志仲 长江大学管理学院 
刘新卫 长江大学管理学院 
毛程丝 长江大学管理学院 
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中文摘要:
      本文构建了包含能源的三要素经济增长核算模型,估算了1952~2012年及不同阶段能源等要素的产出弹性,能源等要素和技术进步对我国工业化时期经济增长的贡献。研究表明:能源产出弹性和能源对经济增长的贡献率仅次于资本,远高于劳动力要素;两要素经济增长核算模型中劳动和资本的产出弹性及对经济增长的贡献,相当部分应归功于能源,能源消费增长在一定程度上是技术进步的体现;包含能源要素的经济增长核算,能更好地揭示经济增长的源泉,反映不同阶段工业化程度和社会经济体制变化。
英文摘要:
      We construct an economic growth accounting model that consists of energy, capital and labor factors. We use regression analysis to estimate the output elasticity of the various factors, to estimate contributions of energy, capital, labor and technological progress to China’s economic growth, during 1952~2012 and the different stages. The result shows that: energy output elasticity and the contribution rates are second only to the capital element, and much higher than the labor factor. Comparative analysis shows that the output elasticity’s and economic growth contributions of capital and labor in the two elements economic growth accounting model are partly due to the energy.
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